MBALN 603 Statistics Examination for Hypothesis
Part 1
Keywords:Confidence Intervals for Means, Normal distribution, t-student distribution
Exercise 1. (5 points) For the following data set
114 |
112 |
123 |
111 |
109 |
103 |
112 |
113 |
107 |
129 |
108 |
126 |
131 |
129 |
126 |
115 |
123 |
108 |
131 |
115 |
134 |
133 |
132 |
114 |
104 |
127 |
128 |
137 |
114 |
139 |
128 |
117 |
121 |
110 |
141 |
121 |
138 |
140 |
122 |
130 |
115 |
102 |
Table 1: Data set Exercise 1
Construct a
- 90%confidence interval for the population mean;
- 95%confidence interval for the population mean;
- 99%confidence interval for the population mean;
- Whatassumption do you need to make about the population of interest to construct the confidence intervals ?
Exercise 2. (5 points) For the following data set
136 |
141 |
137 |
145 |
131 |
135 |
138 |
136 |
130 |
132 |
136 |
134 |
137 |
133 |
141 |
139 |
Table 2: Data set Exercise 2
Construct a
1. 90%confidence interval for the population mean;
2. 95%confidence interval for the population mean;
Exercise 3. (5 points) Two boxes, A and B contain equal numbers of balls (black and white). A sample of 100 balls selected with replacement from each of the boxes revealed 52 white balls form box A and 44 white balls from box B.
- Testthe hypothesis that the two boxes have equal ratio of white balls, using a significance level of 0.05
- Testthe hypothesis that box A has greater ratio of white balls than box B, using a significance level of 0.05
Exercise 4. (5 points) Consider the sample data for grades A, B, C & D of four different classes, which are tabulated in table 3. Test whether the four means are equal at the 0.05 level of significance.
Perform a test that will compare all 4 means at once. We are not interested in pair-wise comparisons at this stage.
Please show all the steps in your calculations.
Table 3: Data set Exercise 4
80 |
81 |
83 |
78 |
83 |
79 |
72 |
79 |
80 |
83 |
80 |
80 |
65 |
76 |
81 |
98 |
92 |
65 |
87 |
57 |
81 |
74 |
68 |
81 |
65 |
34 |
68 |
71 |
34 |
45 |
78 |
91 |
57 |
61 |
51 |
46 |
71 |
69 |
66 |
72 |
71 |
59 |
63 |
82 |
81 |
67 |
61 |
52 |
72 |
75 |
64 |
|
81 |
80 |
74 |
|
36 |
55 |
78 |
|
83 |
67 |
|
|
91 |
94 |
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
51 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
Answer
Part 1.
Exercise 1:
Data | |||||
114 |
112 |
123 |
111 |
109 |
103 |
112 |
113 |
107 |
129 |
108 |
126 |
131 |
129 |
126 |
115 |
123 |
108 |
131 |
115 |
134 |
133 |
132 |
114 |
104 |
127 |
128 |
137 |
114 |
139 |
128 |
117 |
121 |
110 |
141 |
121 |
138 |
140 |
122 |
130 |
115 |
102 |
Population Mean = |
121.2381 |
|
Confidence intervals |
90% | ||
|
|
|
|
Confidence intervals |
95% | |
Number of Sample = |
42 |
|
Confidence intervals |
99% | ||
Standard deviation = |
11.08022 |
|
|
|
| |
Standard error = |
1.709715 |
|
t(90%) |
|
1.644854 | |
|
|
|
|
t(95%) |
|
1.959964 |
|
|
|
|
t(99%) |
|
2.575829 |
1) |
Upper 90% confidence limit = |
124.0503 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 90% confidence limit = |
118.4259 |
|
| ||
2) |
Upper 95% confidence limit = |
124.5891 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 95% confidence limit = |
117.8871 |
|
| ||
3) |
Upper 99% confidence limit = |
125.642 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 99% confidence limit = |
116.8342 |
|
|
The population mean is 121.2381.
- 90% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 90% confidence limit = 124.0503.
Lower 90% confidence limit = 118.4259.
- 95% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 95% confidence limit = 124.5891 (Efron and Tibshirani 1986).
Lower 95% confidence limit = 117.8871.
- 99% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 99% confidence limit = 125.642.
Lower 99% confidence limit = 116.8342.
- The assumptions needed to construct the confidence intervals are-
- Each sample is independent to each other.
- All the samples are normally distributed (Payton, Greenstone and Schenker 2003).
- There exists no significant outlier in the data set.
Exercise 2:
Data | |||
136 |
141 |
137 |
145 |
131 |
135 |
138 |
136 |
130 |
132 |
136 |
134 |
137 |
133 |
141 |
139 |
Population Mean = |
136.3125 |
|
Confidence intervals |
90% | ||
|
|
|
|
Confidence intervals |
95% | |
Number of Sample = |
16 |
|
Confidence intervals |
99% | ||
Standard deviation = |
3.961797 |
|
|
|
| |
Standard error = |
0.990449 |
|
t(90%) |
|
1.644854 | |
|
|
|
|
t(95%) |
|
1.959964 |
|
|
|
|
t(99%) |
|
2.575829 |
1) |
Upper 90% confidence limit = |
137.9416 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 90% confidence limit = |
134.6834 |
|
| ||
2) |
Upper 95% confidence limit = |
138.2537 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 95% confidence limit = |
134.3713 |
|
| ||
3) |
Upper 99% confidence limit = |
138.8637 |
|
| ||
|
Lower 99% confidence limit = |
133.7613 |
|
|
(Source: Altman and Gardner 1988)
The population mean is 136.3125.
- 90% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 90% confidence limit = 137.9416.
Lower 90% confidence limit = 134.6834.
- 95% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 95% confidence limit = 138.2537.
Lower 95% confidence limit = 134.3713.
- 99% confidence interval of the population mean =
Upper 99% confidence limit = 138.8637.
Lower 99% confidence limit = 133.7613.
- The assumptions needed to construct the confidence intervals are-
- Each sample are independent to each other (Ci 1987).
- All the samples are normally distributed.
- There exists no significant outlier in the data set.
Exercise 3:
Null hypothesis: |
The proportions of white balls in two boxes are equal. | |||
Alternative hypothesis: |
The proportions of white balls in box A is greater than box B. | |||
Box A |
|
|
Box B |
|
Total balls (n1) = |
100 |
|
Total balls (n2) = |
100 |
White balls = |
52 |
|
White balls = |
44 |
Proportion (p1) = |
0.52 |
|
Proportion (p2) = |
0.44 |
Difference in proportions (p1 - p2) = |
0.08 |
|
| |
Total samples (n1+n2) = |
200 |
|
| |
Total white balls = |
|
96 |
|
|
Total proportion (p-bar) = |
0.48 |
|
| |
Z-statistic = |
|
1.132277 |
|
|
Level of significance = |
|
5% |
|
|
Z-critical = |
|
1.959964 |
|
|
Sig. = |
|
Cannot reject null hypothesis |
|
Hypothesis:
The hypotheses are-
Null hypothesis (H0): Box A has equal proportion of white ball such as proportion of white ball in Box B.
Alternative hypothesis (HA): Box A has higher proportion of white ball than the proportion of white ball in Box B.
Level of significance:
The level of significance is assumed to be 5%.
Test applied:
Two sample proportional Z-test.
Calculated Z-statistic:
Z = = 1.132277 (Sahai and Khurshid 1996)
(p1= proportion of white ball in box A; p2= proportion of white ball in box B; p=proportion of white ball together in box A and box B, n1= total number of balls in box A; n2= total number of balls in box B).
Decision-making:
1.959964>1.132277, so, Zsig.>Zcrit. Therefore, the null hypothesis could not be rejected with 95% probability (Levine et al. 1999).
Interpretation:
Therefore, it could be interpreted that Box A has equal proportion of white ball of proportion of white ball in Box B.
Exercise 4:
Anova: Single Factor |
|
|
|
|
| |
Summary |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groups |
Count |
Sum |
Average |
Variance |
|
|
Grade A |
20 |
1445 |
72.25 |
292.4079 |
|
|
Grade B |
17 |
1164 |
68.47059 |
217.2647 |
|
|
Grade C |
15 |
1074 |
71.6 |
95.68571 |
|
|
Grade D |
12 |
887 |
73.91667 |
238.6288 |
|
|
ANOVA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source of Variation |
SS |
df |
MS |
F |
P-value |
F crit |
Between Groups |
236.9355 |
3 |
78.97851 |
0.364614 |
0.778776 |
2.758078 |
Within Groups |
12996.5 |
60 |
216.6084 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
13233.44 |
63 |
|
|
|
|
Hypothesis:
The hypotheses are-
Null hypothesis (H0): The averages of four different grades A, B, C and D of four different classes are equal to each other (Heiberger and Neuwirth 2009).
Alternative hypothesis (H0): There exists at least one inequality in the averages of four different grades A, B, C and D of four different classes.
Observations:
The average of grade A is 72.25, grade B is 68.47, grade C is 71.6 and grade D is 73.92.
Test applied:
One-way ANOVA.
Level of Significance:
The level of significance is found to be 5%.
Test Statistic:
Calculated F-statistic = 0.364614 with p-value = 0.778776.
Decision-making:
As, calculated p-value is greater than the 5% level of significance, therefore, null hypothesis could not be rejected with 95% probability (Christensen 1987). On the other hand, as Fcrit.is greater than Fcal.(2.758078>0.364614), therefore, null hypothesis is accepted with 95% possibility (Ross and Willson 2017).
Interpretation:
The averages of four different grades A, B, C and D of four different classes are equal to each other.
References:
Altman, D.G. and Gardner, M.J., 1988. Statistics in Medicine: Calculating confidence intervals for regression and correlation. British medical journal (Clinical research ed.), 296(6631), p.1238.
Christensen, R., 1987. One-Way ANOVA. In Plane Answers to Complex Questions (pp. 57-69). Springer, New York, NY.
Ci, B., 1987. Confidence intervals. Lancet, 1, pp.494-497.
Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R., 1986. Bootstrap methods for standard errors, confidence intervals, and other measures of statistical accuracy. Statistical science, pp.54-75.
Heiberger, R.M. and Neuwirth, E., 2009. One-way anova. In R through excel (pp. 165-191). Springer, New York, NY.
Levine, D.M., Berenson, M.L., Stephan, D. and Lysell, D., 1999. Statistics for managers using Microsoft Excel (Vol. 660). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.
Payton, M.E., Greenstone, M.H. and Schenker, N., 2003. Overlapping confidence intervals or standard error intervals: what do they mean in terms of statistical significance?. Journal of Insect Science, 3(1).
Ross, A. and Willson, V.L., 2017. One-Way Anova. In Basic and Advanced Statistical Tests (pp. 21-24). SensePublishers, Rotterdam.
Sahai, H. and Khurshid, A., 1996. Formulae and tables for the determination of sample sizes and power in clinical trials for testing differences in proportions for the two?sample design: a review. Statistics in medicine, 15(1), pp.1-21.
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