FINC20023 International Financial Management: Twin Agency Problem
Questions:
1:
Discuss what you understand by the term ‘twin agency problem’.
2:
Discuss and compare the shareholder wealth maximization model and the stakeholder capitalism model.
3:
Classify the following as a transaction reported in a sub-component of the current account, or the capital and financial accounts of the countries involved:
- An Australian company imports vegetables from a Chinese firm.
- An Australian resident pays Singapore Airlinesfor a flight to Singapore.
- A German investor buys some US treasury bonds.
- AnIndian firm pays the salary of its executive working for a subsidiary in Australia.
- An Australian firm buys 100% share of a Japanese company.
4:
Discuss what you understand by the term ‘impossible trinity’.
5:
ABM Ltd. is an Australiansoftware development company which wishes to purchase a laptop and is making a choice between two laptop manufacturers. A laptop manufacturer in Japan has quoted the laptop price to be ¥50,000, while a laptop manufacturer in the US has quoted the price of a similar laptop to be $400. The spot exchange rate for the US dollar against the Australian dollar is $0.76/A$, and the spot exchange rate for the US dollar against the Japanese yen is $0.0089/¥.
- Determine the Australian dollar cash outlay for ABM Ltd. if it buys:
(a) from the Japanese manufacturer
(b) from the US manufacturer
- Which of the manufacturers should ABM choose, if the choice is solely based on required Australian dollar cash outlay?
- Suppose the expected exchange rates after 3 months are respectively $0.80/A$ and $0.0077/¥. Also, suppose that the dollar and yen prices of the laptop will remain the same.Will there be any change in the purchase decision for ABM Ltd. if the laptop is purchased after 3 months and the spot exchange rates at that time equate the expected exchange rates?
6:
A German car now costs €50,000. The spot exchange rate is A$1.40/€. If the expected inflation rates in Australia and Germany are respectively 1.6% and 2.0%, what will be the Australian dollar price of that car 1 year from now if there is 100% exchange rate pass through?
7:
John is a US based Forex trader. He focuses principally on the Singapore dollar/US dollar (S$/$) cross-rate. The current spot rate is S$1.40/$. After considerable study, he concludes that the exchange rate, in the coming 180 days, will probably be about S$1.34/$. He has the following options on the Singapore dollar to choose from:
Option |
Strike Price |
Premium |
Put on S$ |
S$1.3600/$ |
$0.003/S$ |
Call on S$ |
S$1.3600/$ |
$0.004/S$ |
Discuss whether he should buy a Put on S$ or Call on S$, and what would be his net profitif the spot rate at the end of the 180 days is indeed S$1.34/$.
8:
Discuss and compare the different currency market intervention strategies.
9:
As per the RBA, on Jun 20 2016, just before the United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership, the exchange rate between Australian Dollarand the Great Britain Pound (GBP) was £0.5114/A$; while on Jul 20 2016, it was £0.5725/A$. What was the percentage change? Was it a devaluation or revaluation or appreciation or depreciation of the GBP against the Australian dollar? Assume that Australian dollar is the home currency.
10:
An Australian organization has a ¥40,000,000 account receivable from a Japanese customer in 3 months. The current Japanese yen (¥)/Australian Dollar (A$) spot exchange rate is ¥87.35/A$. The Australian organization expects the spot rate in 3 months to be ¥91.45/A$. The 3-month forward exchange rate is ¥89.50/A$. The Australian Dollar (A$) 3-month borrowing rate is 4.00% per annum and the Australian Dollar (A$) 3-month investment rate is 6.00% per annum. The Japanese yen (¥) 3-month borrowing rate is 8.00% per annum and the Japanese yen (¥) 3-month investment rate is 4.00% per annum. The organization’s weighted average cost of capital is 10% per annum. The organization is considering three hedge positions: remaining unhedged, forward market hedge and money market hedge. Which of these hedge positions should the organization adopt?
Answers:
1: (Twin Agency Problem)
The twin agency problem mainly depicts that two groups act for its own self-interest, and discards any interest of the firm. The main hurdles for the financial globalisation are twin agency problem, where investments in foreign companies are not safe. The twin agency problems are interrelated, where one is directly linked with other. The first agency problem is related to the exploitation, which is conducted by governments that provide essential resources to companies (Chen, Li, Xiao & Zou, 2014). The second problem mainly arises from company’s management itself, as they might use the additional funds for their personal benefit. The constant risk from weak management and exploiting government mainly increase the twin agency problems and hinders international investments (Peseta, 2014).
2: (Comparing and discussing shareholder wealth maximization model with stakeholder capitalism mo
del)
del)
According to the shareholders wealth maximization model, companies are mainly concerned for increasing their wealth, which increases its share value. In addition, the stakeholder capitalism model mainly forces the company to address anxiety of management, creditors, employees, society, and shareholders. Furthermore, companies by using both the models are mainly able to determine the overall unsystematic and systematic risks associated with their operations. Denis (2016) stated that companies with the use of different models are mainly able to take relevant steps, which could be help in betterment of the company.
3: (Relevant transactions Classification)
- Credit to the Chinese firm current account part and debit to Australian company part of the current account.
- Credit to Singapore in the current account, while debit to Australian resident current account.
- Credit to US in the financial account, while debit to German investor financial account.
- Credit to Australia in the current account, while debit to Indian firm current account.
- Credit to Japanese in the capital account, while debit to Australian firm capital account.
4: (Stating impossible trinity)
Free capital flow, sovereign monetary policy, and fixed exchange rate are mainly considered to be the impossible trinity, whose violation could result in financial crisis. The violation of impossible trinity was mainly witnessed in 1997-1998 within the Asian market (Vines, 2015). The countries mainly violated the impossible trinity, which resulted in serious cash crunch and halted the overall operation so the economy. Currently it is stated that there are no models or theories, which could help countries and governments to violate the impossible trinity, as it is one of the significant aspect of the financial world and must be followed by all the governments (Bielecki & Rutkowski, 2013).
5:
i) Stating the Australian dollar cash outlay for ABM ltd:
USD |
JAP |
Amount |
1 |
0.0089 |
50000 |
|
|
445 |
|
|
585.53 |
AUD |
USD |
Amount |
1 |
0.76 |
400 |
|
|
526.32 |
a) For US manufacturing facility, ABM will be spending 526.32
Seeing the overall manufacturing costs overall US manufacturing facility will mainly be chosen, as it depicts a lower cost of production.
iii) Depicting the change in purchase decision:
USD |
JAP |
Amount |
1 |
0.0077 |
50000 |
|
|
385 |
|
|
481.25 |
AUD |
USD |
Amount |
1 |
0.8 |
400 |
|
|
500.00 |
The change in spot rate mainly depicts the profitable offer, which is portrayed by the Japanese manufacturer, as it will cost less than the USA manufacturing.
6: Stating value of car in Australian dollar from 1 year time frame
Germany inflation rate |
2.0% |
Spot exchange rate is A$/€ |
1.40 |
Australian inflation rate |
1.6% |
Difference in inflation rate |
1.6% - 2.0% = -0.40% |
Spot exchange rate is A$/€ |
1.40 * (1-0.40%) |
Spot exchange rate is A$/€ at 1 yr |
1.3944 |
7: Stating decision and net profit after 180 days
Particulars |
Amount |
Strike price |
S$ 1.3600/$ |
Less Spot rate |
S$ 1.3400/$ |
Less Premium |
$ 0.003/S$ or S$0.00408/$ |
Net profit |
S $0.01592/$ |
After evaluating the above table t is derived that John intents that Singaporean dollar is going to decline against US dollar after 180 days. John could use put option at the strike price of S$1.3600 with a premium of $ 0.003/S$, where it is expected to reach S$1.3400. The above table mainly state the net profit of John after initiating the trade (Chaboud, Chiquoine, Hjalmarsson & Vega, 2014).
8: Comparing different currency market strategy
There are two different types of currency market strategies, which could be used by the government to intervene in their currency value. There is relatively two-intervention method direct and indirect method, where government mainly uses relevant intervention to control its currency (Bingham & Kiesel, 2013). The indirect method is mainly used by the central bank, where it increases or decreases the real rates to manage the capital outflow. In addition, the direct method used by central banks is when it buys or sells its currency to reduce or increase its supply. Both the methods are an effective measure, which governments are able to control value of their currency and effectively intervene in their currency exchange (Basher & Sadorsky, 2016).
9: Stating percentage change in the GBP
After the announcement of UK referendum on the EU membership relative change in GBP against the Australian Dollar could be witnessed. The percentage change of GBP against Australian dollar is witnessed at 11.95%, where relative increment in Australian currency could be witnessed. Carfi & Musolino (2014) mentioned that use of adequate hedging policy companies is able to reduce the risk from volatile currency market and maintain the level of their profits.
10: Stating the appropriate hedge position used by organisation
Amount Yen |
40,000,000 |
|
|
Particulars |
Amount |
Rate |
Present value |
Spot |
457,928 |
87.35 |
|
Forward |
446,927 |
89.5 |
436,404 |
Unhedged position |
437,397 |
91.45 |
427,099 |
Particulars |
Australian |
Japan |
Borrowing |
1.00% |
2.00% |
Lending |
1.50% |
1.00% |
Borrowed |
|
40,000,000 |
Amount received |
|
39,215,686 |
Converted to A$ in spot rate |
448,949 | |
Interest amount received in three months |
6,734 | |
Amount received at the end of 3 months |
455,683 | |
PV of the amount received |
444,954 |
The above table mainly depicts the relevant income, which could be generated from money market system. In addition, the non-hedge scenario will only provide an exchange value of A$427,099, whereas forward rate hedge ratio will mainly provide A$436,404. However, if adequate money market hedge is used then the income will be A$444,954, which relatively higher than other hedging method (White et al., 2013).
References:
Aizenman, J., Chinn, M. D., & Ito, H. (2013). The “impossible trinity” hypothesis in an era of global imbalances: Measurement and testing. Review of International Economics, 21(3), 447-458.
Basher, S. A., & Sadorsky, P. (2016). Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH. Energy Economics, 54, 235-247.
Bielecki, T. R., & Rutkowski, M. (2013). Credit risk: modeling, valuation and hedging. Springer Science & Business Media.
Bingham, N. H., & Kiesel, R. (2013). Risk-neutral valuation: Pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. Springer Science & Business Media.
Carfi, D., & Musolino, F. (2014). Dynamical Stabilization of Currency Market with Fractal-like Trajectories. Scientific Bulletin of the Politehnica University of Bucharest, Series A-Applied Mathematics and Physics, 76(4), 115-126.
Chaboud, A. P., Chiquoine, B., Hjalmarsson, E., & Vega, C. (2014). Rise of the machines: Algorithmic trading in the foreign exchange market. The Journal of Finance, 69(5), 2045-2084.
Chen, D., Li, S., Xiao, J. Z., & Zou, H. (2014). The effect of government quality on corporate cash holdings. Journal of Corporate Finance, 27, 384-400.
Denis, D. (2016). Corporate Governance and the Goal of the Firm: In Defense of Shareholder Wealth Maximization. Financial Review, 51(4), 467-480.
Lustig, H., Roussanov, N., & Verdelhan, A. (2014). Countercyclical currency risk premia. Journal of Financial Economics, 111(3), 527-553.
Peseta, T. L. (2014). Agency and stewardship in academic development: The problem of speaking truth to power. International Journal for Academic Development, 19(1), 65-69.
Vines, D. (2015). Impossible Macroeconomic Trinity: The Challenge to Economic Governance in the Eurozone. Journal of European Integration, 37(7), 861-874.
White, A. E., Li, Y. J., Griskevicius, V., Neuberg, S. L., & Kenrick, D. T. (2013). Putting All Your Eggs in One Basket Life-History Strategies, Bet Hedging, and Diversification. Psychological Science, 24(5), 715-722.
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